Under-pressure Ainsworth in danger of making unwanted piece of QPR history
Saturday’s visit of Blackburn is perhaps the most important match of Gareth Ainsworth’s QPR managerial career – as unwanted history beckons.
In an ironic twist, Rovers were lifelong Blackburn fan Ainsworth’s first opponents after his appointment in February, and potentially might be his last should there be a repeat of the comfortable 3-1 win by Jon Dahl Tomasson’s side.
Failure to beat a Blackburn team that sit two points above Rangers would not only keep Ainsworth’s side in the bottom three, but also make it 11 matches without a home victory – the longest run by any manager in the club’s 141-year history.
Since Ainsworth’s arrival Loftus Road has continued to be a happy hunting ground for opposition teams.
Coventry, twice, Sunderland and Blackburn have each scored three goals on their trips to W12 and there have been comfortable 2-0 wins for Preston and Bristol City.
A 1-0 victory over Watford on March 11 was the last time ‘Hi Ho Silver Lining’ rang out at Loftus Road and there is a growing supporter frustration at the style of football being served up by a team that under Mark Warburton was once among the highest-scoring and most entertaining teams in the division.
Rangers again offered little in attack in Wednesday’s 1-0 loss at Leeds and once more the only evident game plan seemed to be to hit Sinclair Armstrong over the top, with Lyndon Dykes occupying the role behind the young striker.
The promising Irish forward still has just one goal to his name and remains a raw talent, but there is a danger of him being physically burnt out before Christmas with Ainsworth seemingly intent on using the 20-year-old as a battering ram to unsettle defenders.
His direct approach has also reduced the impact of Ilias Chair, who last season ranked third in the Championship for chances created for his team.
This has not gone unnoticed by Morocco coach Walid Regragui, who has left Chair out of his past two squads despite the 25-year-old being part of the World Cup squad that reached the semi-finals last year – a feat that earned QPR a not insignificant sum of money in compensation from Fifa.
It would be unfair not to point out that Ainsworth has had to work with a tightened budget and a slimmer squad as the club try to tread the FFP threshold and prior to his arrival the team had lost seven times at home under three different managers.
He also inherited a fractured group of players lacking in confidence, and while his emphasis on culture-building should not be dismissed – team spirit is ultimately fostered on the back of winning games of football.
No-one would argue that it has generally been tough going for QPR fans since the club fell out of the Premier League in 2015, but the home form has always been largely solid.
Steve McClaren and Ian Holloway both had underwhelming reigns, albeit with arguably less talented squads than Ainsworth.
But the pair still managed to chalk up memorable home victories against an Aston Villa side containing Jack Grealish, a Norwich City team boasting James Maddison, Marcelo Bielsa’s Leeds and a Wolves team that romped to the Championship title in 2017.
Since Ainsworth’s appointment it has been genuinely hard to see any positive on-field progress in both defence and attack, with his team picking up just 19 points from a possible 69, scoring 18 goals and conceding 42.
If that form continues there is a definite chance of the club being in League One next season.
There would also lead to the potential ignominy of having to face Chelsea, Crystal Palace or Fulham’s Under-21 sides in the EFL Trophy.
With the possession-based approach of Warburton and Michael Beale very much a thing of the past, QPR now find themselves only ahead of Rotherham and Huddersfield when it comes to keeping the ball.
Only fellow strugglers Huddersfield have made less progressive forward passes in the opponent’s half, and QPR’s inability to unlock defences could be down to the fact that Rotherham are the only team to have attempted less through-balls in the final third of the field.
But none of these statistics should be surprising given that Ainsworth’s Wycombe side had one of the lowest possession rates in League One.
However, that team was synonymous with their prowess from set-pieces – but that has not transferred to QPR this season.
The team are the joint-lowest scorers in the Championship from dead-ball situations, with one goal – a throw-in from Paul Smyth that led to Kenneth Paal’s strike against Sunderland being their one success.
But this can possibly be explained by the fact that the team are averaging just 3.7 corners per game – the third lowest in the division.
Although the pressure is firmly on the 50-year-old, there is no genuine desire at board level to wield the axe despite the dreadful run of results.
Chairman Amit Bhatia made the decision to appoint him and wants to give him time in the job.
The club are also yet to appoint a director of football since Les Ferdinand’s departure in May, which could earn him a stay of execution.
But something has to change and fast. Otherwise Ainsworth’s spell in the job he long coveted will turn out to be a nightmare both for him and the club.
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08/10/2023 @ 6:51 pm
When your manager resembles a roadie then your in trouble, it’s fairly straight forward in so much as gaining respect from everyone
angryoap
07/10/2023 @ 4:21 pm
Just get Neil Warnock and a decent 2 or 3 strikers – job done.
angryoap
07/10/2023 @ 4:20 pm
Neil Warnock and a decent 2 or 3 strikers – job done.
angryoap
07/10/2023 @ 3:02 pm
I dont bother with medication it doesnt work anymore, even the dog turns his nose up at it.
I dont have any particvular axe to grind but always thought we needed a far better calibre manager than Gareth when his name initially arose. Passion and caring just doesnt cut the mustard. Its not his fault hes not up to it, its the fault of those who took him on and allowed FFP to drag on and on and on. You know who they are – they are the scruffy ones!
T Block Dave
07/10/2023 @ 9:15 am
I like Ainsworth I genuinely do, he has passion and he does care, but the stark reality is that football is a results business. We love the club and have an expectation to be entertained for our money, however what is also required in the championship more often than not is a gritty determination. Sadly this season on the games so far we have been neither entertaining or gritty. If we had a go and got spanked far enough. But the stats show we don’t shoot (on target), and there is little desire especially when the opposition bang the first one in. The players in my view have plenty of talent, but getting the best out of them is something currently out of reach of Ainsworth. But with Beale and Ferdinand out of the door I think the foundations are better than they have been for a considerable amount of time. The mood is dark, but I for one am ever hopeful. Here comes the nurse with my medication !!
angryoap
07/10/2023 @ 8:27 am
Well said Robert – apart from wanting GA to remain.
We need a top class manager who can argue his case with the board. We all know it can be done, new stadium, top class squads, promotion – just look at the Brentfords and Lutons. I think the senior management are pretty useless along with their team (off field) they have built, it all went pearshaped once TF went. What are the scouts doing? or dont we have any? why did Sir Les clear off?.
Its not going to take much effort – keep the existing squad and get 2 or 3 top scorers. Then top up year after year.
S
07/10/2023 @ 2:06 am
We will never win with this set up with 3 at the back.
Gareth needs to buckle up and play conservative football and play 4-4-2 and stick to a solid game of fighting than expecting something to up front so that the back doesn’t get exposed all the time.
angryoap
06/10/2023 @ 9:15 pm
Even the manager and those who hired him are not good enough including the whole squad with a few exceptions..
Robert sharp
06/10/2023 @ 8:14 pm
Will someone explain to me why the FFP threshold and the size of the fine which to me was a example to send us down into the lower divisions (they did it to Luton)
How long will this last for? because I agree the players we can afford have been let go for a reason and you hope that the experience players will all get their acts together and prove previous teams wrong.
On the Sinclair front yes he’s young but he just needs to shoot have ago and it will come good
But unless the board find away to spend on some descent players and stop using the FFP as an excuse. How do other teams manage so why can’t we other teams find bargain young players abroad we never have Brighton Watford etc do, so sort out the scouts and stop waiting for the castoffs from other teams and find some players who can defend and score goals and not being injured all the time might help.
If you want cheering up Beale the traitor got the sack lots of talk I would rather have Ainsworth unless he start popping into pubs!!
Andy Dunstan
06/10/2023 @ 4:26 pm
Armstrong isn’t good enough and although Paul Smythe has done ok he is not good enough either. Dozell who has played consistently got put on the bench last Saturday and Kakay is high risk. Chair never releases the ball quickly and needs to be told that and poor Dykes doesn’t get any service. Put Reggie Cannon in the defence in place of Kakay. Make Field Captain. Then start working on passing accuracy.
angryoap
06/10/2023 @ 2:55 pm
We need a miracle to even think about a draw. A 1st div manager floundering out of his depth.